Alternative Premier League table after 14 matches, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after 14 matches, based on expected goals
Well, you can’t say the Premier League isn’t dramatic!Another enthralling 100 miles per hour weekend is in the book and it’s given the table a good shake up once again.Arsenal players celebrate winning the north London derby against Tottenham Hotspur.7
Arsenal players celebrate winning the north London derby against Tottenham Hotspur.
Arsenal were the big winners, proving their form isn’t just flat-track bully stuff by beating fierce rivals Tottenham Hotspur 4-2 at the Emirates.Elsewhere, Liverpool got a winner six minutes into added time as they beat foes Everton 1-0, while Manchester United were held to a 2-2 draw by lowly Southampton.But how has this changed the alternative Premier League table based on ‘expected goals’? Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.comto see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

20. Burnley Real position = 19Real points = 9 | Expected points = 8.8919.Fulham Real position = 20Real points = 8 | Expected points = 10.2218. Newcastle United Real position = 15Real points = 12 | Expected points = 12.3317. Brighton and Hove Albion Real position = 11Real points = 18 | Expected points = 12.49Florin Andone scored the winner for Brighton at the weekend7
Florin Andone scored the winner for Brighton at the weekend
16. Huddersfield Town Real position = 17Real points = 10 | Expected points = 12.6015. Cardiff City Real position = 16Real points = 11 | Expected points = 14.5114. Southampton Real position = 18Real points = 9 | Expected points = 15.9313. West Ham Real position = 13Real points = 15 | Expected points = 17.15Javier Hernandez has scored three goals in his last four games for West Ham7
Javier Hernandez has scored three goals in his last four games for West Ham
12. Crystal Palace Real position = 14Real points = 12 | Expected points = 17.5111.Everton Real position = 6Real points = 22 | Expected points = 18.9710.Manchester United Real position = 7Real points = 22 | Expected points = 19.82Manchester United manager Jose Mourinho.7
Manchester United manager Jose Mourinho.
9. Arsenal Real position = 4Real points = 30 | Expected points = 20.64Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored twice in a big Arsenal win over Spurs7
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored twice in a big Arsenal win over Spurs
8. Leicester City Real position = 8Real points = 21 | Expected points = 21.257. Watford Real position = 10Real points = 20 | Expected points = 21.716. Bournemouth Real position = 9Real points = 20 | Expected points = 22.09David Brooks has been excellent for AFC Bournemouth7
David Brooks has been excellent for AFC Bournemouth
5.Wolverhampton Wanderers Real position = 12Real points = 16 | Expected points = 23.344. Tottenham Hotspur Real position = 5Real points = 30 | Expected points = 24.043.Chelsea Real position = 3Real points = 31 | Expected points = 28.92Maurizio Sarri has enjoyed a good start to life at Chelsea7
Maurizio Sarri has enjoyed a good start to life at Chelsea
2.Liverpool Real position = 2Real points = 36 | Expected points = 29.241. Manchester City Real position = 1Real points = 38 | Expected points = 36.60

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